LAPSE:2018.0955
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.0955
Hybridizing DEMD and Quantum PSO with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting
Li-Ling Peng, Guo-Feng Fan, Min-Liang Huang, Wei-Chiang Hong
November 27, 2018
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents an SVR model hybridized with the differential empirical mode decomposition (DEMD) method and quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm (QPSO) for electric load forecasting. The DEMD method is employed to decompose the electric load to several detail parts associated with high frequencies (intrinsic mode function—IMF) and an approximate part associated with low frequencies. Hybridized with quantum theory to enhance particle searching performance, the so-called QPSO is used to optimize the parameters of SVR. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Sydney, Australia) market and the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO, New York, USA) are used for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results illustrate the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
Keywords
auto regression, differential empirical mode decomposition, electric load forecasting, Particle Swarm Optimization, quantum theory, support vector regression
Suggested Citation
Peng LL, Fan GF, Huang ML, Hong WC. Hybridizing DEMD and Quantum PSO with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting. (2018). LAPSE:2018.0955
Author Affiliations
Peng LL: College of Mathematics & Information Science, Ping Ding Shan University, Pingdingshan 467000, China
Fan GF: College of Mathematics & Information Science, Ping Ding Shan University, Pingdingshan 467000, China
Huang ML: Department of Industrial Management, Oriental Institute of Technology, 58 Sec. 2, Sichuan Rd., Panchiao, New Taipei 220, Taiwan
Hong WC: School of Economics & Management, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing 211800, China; Department of Information Management, Oriental Institute of Technology, 58 Sec. 2, Sichuan Rd., Panchiao, New Taipei 220, Taiwan [ORCID]
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
3
Article Number
E221
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-03-19
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en9030221, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.0955
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doi:10.3390/en9030221
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Nov 27, 2018
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CC BY 4.0
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Nov 27, 2018
 
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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