LAPSE:2018.0795
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.0795
A Hierarchical Approach Using Machine Learning Methods in Solar Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting
Zhaoxuan Li, SM Mahbobur Rahman, Rolando Vega, Bing Dong
October 23, 2018
We evaluate and compare two common methods, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR), for predicting energy productions from a solar photovoltaic (PV) system in Florida 15 min, 1 h and 24 h ahead of time. A hierarchical approach is proposed based on the machine learning algorithms tested. The production data used in this work corresponds to 15 min averaged power measurements collected from 2014. The accuracy of the model is determined using computing error statistics such as mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), relative MBE (rMBE), mean percentage error (MPE) and relative RMSE (rRMSE). This work provides findings on how forecasts from individual inverters will improve the total solar power generation forecast of the PV system.
Keywords
artificial neural network (ANN), photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, support vector regression (SVR)
Suggested Citation
Li Z, Rahman SM, Vega R, Dong B. A Hierarchical Approach Using Machine Learning Methods in Solar Photovoltaic Energy Production Forecasting. (2018). LAPSE:2018.0795
Author Affiliations
Li Z: Mechanical Engineering, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
Rahman SM: Mechanical Engineering, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
Vega R: Texas Sustainable Energy Research Institute, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
Dong B: Mechanical Engineering, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
1
Article Number
E55
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-01-19
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en9010055, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.0795
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doi:10.3390/en9010055
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Oct 23, 2018
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CC BY 4.0
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[v1] (Original Submission)
Oct 23, 2018
 
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Oct 23, 2018
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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