LAPSE:2018.0531
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.0531
Short-Term Load Forecasting of Natural Gas with Deep Neural Network Regression †
Gregory D. Merkel, Richard J. Povinelli, Ronald H. Brown
September 21, 2018
Deep neural networks are proposed for short-term natural gas load forecasting. Deep learning has proven to be a powerful tool for many classification problems seeing significant use in machine learning fields such as image recognition and speech processing. We provide an overview of natural gas forecasting. Next, the deep learning method, contrastive divergence is explained. We compare our proposed deep neural network method to a linear regression model and a traditional artificial neural network on 62 operating areas, each of which has at least 10 years of data. The proposed deep network outperforms traditional artificial neural networks by 9.83% weighted mean absolute percent error (WMAPE).
Keywords
artificial neural networks, deep learning, Natural Gas, short term load forecasting
Suggested Citation
Merkel GD, Povinelli RJ, Brown RH. Short-Term Load Forecasting of Natural Gas with Deep Neural Network Regression †. (2018). LAPSE:2018.0531
Author Affiliations
Merkel GD: Opus College of Engineering, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI 53233, USA
Povinelli RJ: Opus College of Engineering, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI 53233, USA [ORCID]
Brown RH: Opus College of Engineering, Marquette University, Milwaukee, WI 53233, USA
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
11
Issue
8
Article Number
E2008
Year
2018
Publication Date
2018-08-02
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en11082008, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.0531
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doi:10.3390/en11082008
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Sep 21, 2018
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CC BY 4.0
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Sep 21, 2018
 
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Sep 21, 2018
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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